By 2028, 13,300 new workers are expected to enter the public administration and safety industry.
Workforce projections: 3-year and 10-year outlook
Workforce projections – industry
Time period | Employment growth | Retirements | New workers expected5 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Share | No. | Share | ||
2025 to 2028 | 150 | 1% | 13,200 | 99% | 13,300 |
2025 to 2035 | 29,900 | 40% | 44,800 | 60% | 75,000 |
Workforce projections – Victoria
Time period | Employment growth | Retirements | New workers expected5 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Share | No. | Share | ||
2025 to 2028 | 143,000 | 38% | 230,000 | 62% | 373,000 |
2025 to 2035 | 650,000 | 45% | 804,000 | 55% | 1,454,000 |
Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.
New workers expected⁵ by industry subdivision from 2025 to 2028
Industry subdivision | Number of workers | VET | Higher education | No post-school qualifications |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Public administration | 8,300 | 26% | 57% | 17% |
Public order, safety and | 3,700 | 43% | 34% | 23% |
Defence | 1,300 | 35% | 38% | 27% |
Occupations with high new workers expected⁵ with direct TAFE study pathways⁶ from 2025 to 2028
Occupation | New workers expected5 | TAFE pathways into occupation6 | Available under Free TAFE7 |
|---|---|---|---|
Security officers and guards | 1,050 | Certificate III in Security Operations | - |
Certificate III in Security Equipment | - | ||
Police | 630 | Other qualification required | - |
Policy and planning managers | 410 | Higher education qualification required | - |
Other information and organisation professionals | 400 | Higher education qualification required | - |
Prison officers | 400 | Certificate III in Correctional Practice (Community) | - |
Inner metropolitan (within metropolitan Melbourne) and Barwon (within regional Victoria) are expecting the highest share of new workers
New workers expected⁵ for public administration and safety, by region⁸, from 2025 to 2028
New workers expected – industry
| Employment growth | Retirements | New workers expected 2028 | Share of total new workers expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Industry | 150 | 13,200 | 13,300 | 4% |
New workers expected – Metropolitan Melbourne
| Employment growth | Retirements | New workers expected 2028 | Share of total new workers expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Metropolitan Melbourne | 720 | 10,100 | 10,900 | 82% |
Inner metropolitan | -460 | 4,300 | 3,900 | 36% |
Western metropolitan | 880 | 1,400 | 2,300 | 21% |
Northern metropolitan | 520 | 1,500 | 2,100 | 19% |
Southern metropolitan | 110 | 1,300 | 1,400 | 13% |
Eastern metropolitan | -170 | 1,100 | 920 | 8% |
Inner south-east metropolitan | -160 | 490 | 320 | 3% |
New workers expected – Regional Victoria
| Employment growth | Retirements | New workers expected 2028 | Share of total new workers expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Regional Victoria | -570 | 3,000 | 2,500 | 18% |
Barwon | 20 | 610 | 630 | 26% |
Gippsland | -120 | 560 | 440 | 18% |
Loddon Campaspe | -30 | 410 | 380 | 15% |
Ovens Murray | -20 | 350 | 340 | 14% |
Central Highlands | -80 | 390 | 320 | 13% |
Goulburn | -60 | 190 | 130 | 5% |
Great South Coast | -90 | 200 | 120 | 5% |
Mallee | -130 | 190 | 70 | 3% |
Wimmera Southern Mallee | -70 | 110 | 40 | 2% |
Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.
- 82 per cent of the workers expected for the industry will be located within metropolitan Melbourne, with inner metropolitan and Western metropolitan with the highest share of new workers
- 18 per cent of new workers expected for the industry will be located within regional Victoria, with Barwon and Gippsland with the highest share of new workers.
Updated