Transport, postal and warehousing skills and workforce snapshot

Date:
19 Aug 2026

1 Industry snapshot

Transport, postal and warehousing skills and workforce snapshot

Workforce overview

Victoria’s ninth largest employing industry:

  • 199,000 people employed
  • 5.3% of the Victorian workforce.

Top employing jobs in the industry:

  • Truck drivers
  • Automobile drivers.

Workforce profile

  • Predominately male-dominated workforce with a higher proportion aged 50 years or over
  • Workforce is predominately male
  • Nearly a third of the workforce holds a VET qualification, exceeding the state average.

Projections

Moderate employment growth projected:

  • Projected to increase at a rate of 0.6% per year to 2028
  • By 2028, the industry is projected to need 19,300 new workers.

Top growing jobs in the industry are:

  • Truck drivers, +3,700 new workers by 2028
  • Automobile drivers, +2,600 new workers by 2028.

Regional outlook

Regions expecting the highest share of new workers:

  • Melbourne: Western metropolitan Melbourne, +6,300 new workers by 2028
  • Regional: Barwon, +480 new workers by 2028.

Skills demand

The top growing jobs in the industry range in skill level requirements:

  • Higher-skilled roles within this industry tend to offer better wages and higher retention rates.

Most in-demand industry specific skills:

  • Business operations
  • Business analysis.

Skills supply

Popular vocational education and training courses:

  • Certificate III in Supply Chain Operations
  • Certificate III in Driving Operations.

Popular university study areas:

  • Business management
  • Management and commerce.

2 Introduction

About the transport, postal and warehousing industry

About these reports

These reports provide a point in time, data-driven overview of the workforce and skills for each industry.

The report does not provide a complete view of workforce dynamics within the industry. Its purpose is to support ongoing efforts to address workforce and skilling demands and to identify opportunities within the transport, postal and warehousing industry.

Report coverage

This report focuses on the transport, postal and warehousing industry and the occupations relevant to the industry, categorised using the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) classification of industries (ANZSIC) and occupations (ANZSCO).

Coverage in this report is limited to employment in the industry and sectors as defined by the ABS, noting some occupations are almost exclusively associated with an industry, such as surgeons in the health services sector, while others, such as accountants, are associated with many industries.

Furthermore, industry classifications rarely encompass the full nature of the work (and therefore skills) associated with a given industry. Therefore, ABS definitions of industries or sectors may not align with the definitions used by an industry association.

Key sectors of the industry

The transport, postal and warehousing industry is involved in transporting people and goods, warehousing, and managing mail and logistics services.

The key sectors within the transport, postal and warehousing industry are:

  • Road transport – includes freight trucking, courier services, passenger buses, taxis and rideshare services
  • Rail transport – includes freight and passenger rail operations, tramways and rail terminal operations
  • Water transport – includes coastal and inland water freight and passenger transport, including ferries and shipping
  • Air transport – includes domestic and international passenger and freight air services, as well as airport operations
  • Postal and courier services – includes mail delivery, parcel services, express couriers and logistics support
  • Warehousing and storage – includes third-party logistics, cold storage, grain storage, bonded warehouses and container depots.

3 Workforce profile

The transport, postal and warehousing workforce is male-dominated and culturally diverse, with a higher-than-average VET qualified workforce.

Employment

Employment by industry in 2025

  • 199,000 employed1
  • 5.3% Victorian employment share
  • 9th share rank.

Employment by industry subdivision in 2025

Industry subdivision

Number of workers

Road transport

83,000

Warehousing and storage services

32,200

Postal and courier pick-up and delivery services

31,500

Transport support services

24,800

Rail transport

13,000

Workforce profile

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

Age distribution in 2021

Age profile – industry

Age

Percentage of workers

15 to 24 years

8%

25to 49 years

57%

50 years and over

36%

Age profile – all industries

Age

Percentage of workers

15 to 24 years

14%

25 to 49 years

57%

50 years and over

29%

Sex distribution² in 2021

Sex distribution – industry

Sex

Percentage of workers

Female

23%

Male

77%

Sex distribution – all industries

Sex

Percentage of workers

Female

49%

Male

51%

Highest level of education in 2021

Highest level of education – industry

Education

Percentage of workers

VET

32%

Higher education

26%

No post-school qualifications

42%

Highest level of education – all industries

Education

Percentage of workers

VET

30%

Higher education

41%

No post-school qualifications

29%

Workforce diversity

First Nations employment in 2021

Group

Percentage identifying as First Nations

Industry

0.6%

All industries

0.7%

Working age population

0.9%

Speaks a language other than English³ in 2021

Group

Percentage speaking a language other than English at home

Industry

38.6%

All industries

27.4%

Working age population

34.4%

Needs assistance with core activities⁴ in 2021

Group

Percentage needing assistance with core activities

Industry

0.9%

All industries

0.9%

Working age population

3.2%

4 Top employing occupations

Truck drivers is the top employing occupation in this industry, with a predominately male, full-time employed and school educated workforce.

Largest employing occupations within the industry by sex, employed part-time and highest education attainment

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

Number employed by sex², ABS Census 2021

Occupation

Number of workers

Percentage male

Percentage female

Truck drivers

21,700

98%

2%

Automobile drivers

9,800

96%

4%

Delivery drivers

8,900

89%

11%

Storepersons

8,700

70%

30%

Couriers and postal deliverers

8,500

87%

13%

Bus and coach drivers

6,900

91%

9%

Forklift drivers

4,700

96%

4%

Transport and despatch clerks

4,300

66%

34%

Supply, distribution and procurement managers

3,300

82%

18%

Train and tram drivers

3,300

75%

25%

Percentage working part-time in 2021

Occupation

Percentage working part-time

Truck drivers

20%

Automobile drivers

57%

Delivery drivers

59%

Storepersons

35%

Couriers and postal deliverers

28%

Bus and coach drivers

34%

Forklift drivers

17%

Transport and despatch clerks

13%

Supply, distribution and procurement managers

7%

Train and tram drivers

9%

Highest educational attainment in 2021

Occupation

Percentage VET

Percentage higher education

Percentage no post-school qualification

Truck drivers

34%

9%

57%

Automobile drivers

28%

39%

33%

Delivery drivers

24%

34%

42%

Storepersons

26%

18%

56%

Couriers and postal deliverers

29%

21%

50%

Bus and coach drivers

41%

15%

44%

Forklift drivers

26%

8%

66%

Transport and despatch clerks

34%

23%

43%

Supply, distribution and procurement managers

31%

31%

38%

Train and tram drivers

48%

20%

32%

5 Workforce projections

By 2028, 19,300 new workers are expected to enter the transport, postal and warehousing industry.

Workforce projections: 3-year and 10-year outlook

Workforce projections – industry

Time period

Employment growth

Retirements

New workers expected5

No.

Share

No.

Share

2025 to 2028

3,400

17%

15,900

83%

19,300

2025 to 2035

32,100

37%

54,000

63%

86,000

Workforce projections – Victoria

Time period

Employment growth

Retirements

New workers expected5

No.

Share

No.

Share

2025 to 2028

143,000

38%

230,000

62%

373,000

2025 to 2035

650,000

45%

804,000

55%

1,454,000

Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.

New workers expected⁵ by industry subdivision from 2025 to 2028

Industry subdivision

Number of workers

VET

Higher education

No post-school qualifications

Road transport

8,900

34%

19%

47%

Postal and courier pick-up and
delivery services

3,700

25%

32%

43%

Warehousing and storage
services

2,400

29%

21%

50%

Air and space transport

2,000

41%

29%

30%

Transport support services

2,000

30%

34%

36%

Occupations with high new workers expected⁵ with direct TAFE study pathways⁶ from 2025 to 2028

Occupation
(ANZSCO4)

New workers expected5

TAFE pathways into occupation6

Available under Free TAFE7

Truck drivers

3,700

Certificate III in Driving Operations

-

Certificate IV in Specialist Driving Operations

-

Automobile drivers

2,650

No qualification required

-

Delivery drivers

1,990

Certificate II in Automative Vocational Preparation

✓

Certificate III in Driving Operations

-

Certificate IV in Specialist Driving Operations

-

Bus and coach drivers

980

Certificate III in Driving Operations

-

Forklift drivers

810

Certificate III in Supply Chain Operations

✓

Western metropolitan (within metropolitan Melbourne) and Barwon (within regional Victoria) are expecting the highest share of new workers

New workers expected⁵ for transport, postal and warehousing, by region⁸, from 2025 to 2028

New workers expected – industry

Employment growth
2025 to 2028

Retirements
2025 to 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Industry

3,400

15,900

19,300

5%

New workers expected – Metropolitan Melbourne

Employment growth
2025 to 2028

Retirements
2025 to 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Metropolitan Melbourne

4,400

13,200

17,600

91%

Western metropolitan

2,500

3,900

6,300

36%

Northern metropolitan

1,600

3,100

4,700

27%

Southern metropolitan

450

2,400

2,800

16%

Inner metropolitan

-110

2,300

2,200

12%

Eastern metropolitan

50

1,200

1,300

7%

Inner south-east metropolitan

-50

390

340

2%

New workers expected – Regional Victoria

Employment growth
2025 to 2028

Retirements
2025 to 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Regional Victoria

-1,000

2,700

1,700

9%

Barwon

-40

530

480

29%

Loddon Campaspe

10

330

340

20%

Central Highlands

0

320

310

18%

Gippsland

-150

430

280

17%

Goulburn

-60

240

180

11%

Great South Coast

-160

210

50

3%

Mallee

-160

200

40

2%

Wimmera Southern Mallee

-80

100

10

1%

Ovens Murray

-350

330

-20

-1%

Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.

  • 91 per cent of new workers expected for the industry will be located within metropolitan Melbourne, with Western metropolitan and Northern metropolitan with the highest share of new workers
  • 9 per cent of new workers expected for the industry will be located within regional Victoria, with Barwon and Loddon Campaspe with the highest share of new workers.

6 Top growing occupations

Higher-skilled roles within this industry tend to offer better wages and stronger retention rates.

Occupations with the highest new workers expected within the transport, postal and warehousing industry

Occupations with highest new workers expected5

New workers expected5
2025 to 2028

Skill level9

Annual median earnings10

Retention rate11

Truck drivers

3,700

4

$69,628

85.9%

Automobile drivers

2,600

4

Not available

56.5%

Delivery drivers

2,000

4

$59,379

69.1%

Storepersons

1,400

4

$61,303

78.7%

Bus and coach drivers

980

4

$69,202

86.7%

Forklift drivers

810

4

$68,094

80.8%

Air transport professionals

710

1

$139,922

88.9%

Couriers and postal deliverers

680

5

$63,414

82.4%

Ticket salespersons

570

5

$59,665

76.7%

Supply, distribution and procurement managers

490

1

$138,856

86.8%

7 Skills needs

Skills in business operations are the most sought-after, while mentions of process improvement and optimisation skills are growing fastest in job ads.

Industry-specific skill demand

The most in-demand skills are business operations, business analysis, and inventory and warehousing. Communication, initiative and leadership, and personal attributes (e.g. right attitude/mindset) are also important, with over 80 per cent of job advertisements within the industry mentioning one or more of these skills.

Most mentioned industry-specific skills in 2024 as a share of job advertisements

Industry-specific skill

Share of job ads

Business operations

37.2%

Business analysis

19.3%

Inventory and warehousing

13.4%

Material handling

9.0%

Heavy equipment operation

8.2%

Business solutions

8.1%

Supply chain management

7.3%

Agile software
development

5.4%

Information technology management

5.1%

System design and
implementation

5.0%

Growing skills mentions within industry

Skills increasingly being mentioned in job advertisements in the transport, postal and warehousing industry are process improvement and optimisation, occupational health and safety, and electrical and computer engineering.

Note: these exclude industry-specific skills already identified as being in high demand.

Growing skills as a percentage point difference in job advertisement mentions from 2019 to 2024

Industry-specific skill

Percentage of job ad mentions in 2019

Percentage of job ad mentions in 2024

Difference

Process improvement and optimisation

3.3%

11.5%

8.2%

Occupational health and safety

6.2%

12.4%

6.1%

Electrical and computer engineering

0.2%

6.0%

5.8%

Transportation operations

0.7%

5.4%

4.7%

Logistics

1.8%

6.4%

4.5%

Ground freight transportation

3.5%

7.8%

4.3%

Scheduling

0.2%

4.1%

3.9%

Air transportation

0.5%

4.2%

3.7%

Contract management

2.0%

5.1%

3.1%

Regulation and legal compliance

0.7%

3.8%

3.0%

8 Training activity

Popular courses and study areas linked to this industry include the Certificate III in Supply Chain Operations (VET) and Business management (HE).

Government-funded VET courses⁶

The Certificate III in Supply Chain Operations, Certificate III in Driving Operations and Diploma of Logistics are among the most popular VET courses in the industry.

Course code

Course name

Available under Free TAFE7

TLI30325

✓

TLI31222

Certificate III in Driving Operations

-

TLI50224

Diploma of Logistics

-

TLI33122

Certificate III in Rail Customer Service

-

AVI50222

Diploma of Aviation (Commercial Pilot Licence - Aeroplane)

-

TLI40122

Certificate IV in Specialist Driving Operations

-

AVI30219

-

MAR20324

-

TLI42622

Certificate IV in Train Driving

-

AVI30419

Certificate III in Aviation (Remote Pilot)

-

Clicking the link will take you to the Victorian Skills Gateway(opens in a new window), where you can find further information about the course, entry requirements, training providers and financial supports available.

University study areas

Popular university study areas aligned with this industry include business management, business and management, not elsewhere classified (n.e.c) and management and commerce.

Field of education (FoE)

FoE

080301

Business management

080399

Business and management, n.e.c.

080000

Management and commerce

081101

Banking and finance

089901

Purchasing, warehousing and distribution

081199

Banking, finance and related fields, n.e.c.

080599

Sales and marketing, n.e.c.

080307

Organisation management

080317

Quality management

020303

Database management

9 Appendix 1: Data notes

1. Employed: Refers to the estimated number of workers in the industry (working one or more paid hours per week) at the close of the financial year. The estimate is derived using the average of past observations.

2. Sex distribution: In the 2021 Census, respondents could select 1 of 3 options for the sex question: male, female or non-binary sex. Census data is only available for responses recorded as male or female.

3. Speaks a language other than English: Refers to individuals who use a non-English language in their household. The ABS collects this data through the Census.

4. Workers who need assistance with core activities: Are workers with a profound or severe core activity limitation in one or more areas of self-care, mobility and communication.

5. New workers expected: Refers to the estimated number of people needed to enter the workforce in each industry, occupation or region over a specified timeframe. It combines 2 elements:

  • Employment growth – new jobs created as businesses and services expand
  • Retirements – workers aged over 50 who are expected to permanently leave the workforce, based on patterns observed in tax and census data.

This figure shows how many new workers may be needed to both fill new roles and replace people exiting due to retirement. These are projections – informed estimates based on past trends, government policy and population forecasts.

6. TAFE study pathways: Refers to government-funded Vocational Education and Training (VET) courses that upon completion, provide a pathway into occupations. These pathways include courses at the same or lower skill level than the related ANZSCO 4-digit occupation or courses at a higher skill level with no barriers to entry such as prior qualifications or prerequisites. VET course pathways reflect funding as of November 2025 and the courses included in the 2026 Training Needs List. Funding for VET courses is regularly updated and is subject to change.

7. Free TAFE: Refers to Vocational Education and Training (VET) courses for which the Victorian Government provides free tuition for eligible students. The Free TAFE list reflects funding as of November 2025 and courses included in the 2026 Training Needs List. Funding for VET courses is regularly updated and is subject to change.

8. Regions: Are groupings of local government areas (LGAs) that align to the Victorian Government’s regional partnerships and former metropolitan partnerships.

9. Skill level: Reflects the level of educational attainment, training or experience needed to perform an occupation’s tasks. Skill levels:

  • Skill level 1: Occupations typically require a bachelor’s degree or higher
  • Skill level 2: Occupations typically require an associate degree, Advanced Diploma or Diploma
  • Skill level 3: Occupations typically require a Certificate III (including apprenticeship) or a Certificate IV
  • Skill level 4: Occupations typically require a Certificate III (non-apprenticeship pathway) or a Certificate II
  • Skill level 5: Occupations typically require a Certificate I or compulsory secondary education.

10. Median earnings: Is the estimated annual median earnings of full-time non-managerial employees in a selected occupation across Australia, based on ABS data from May 2023.

11. Retention rate: Measures the proportion of workers who remain in the same occupation from one financial year to the next, based on ATO data from 2021 to 2022.

9 Appendix 2: Data sources

Industry snapshot

Workforce overview

Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Workforce profile

  • Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025
  • ABS, Census, Age in five-year groups by sex, ANZSIC1, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Level of highest educational attainment, ANZSIC1, 2021.

Projections

Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Regional outlook

Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Skills demand

Lightcast, ANZ Postings, Victorian Skills Authority's analysis, 2024.

Skills supply

  • NCVER, Total VET Activity (TVA) program enrolments, government-funded courses in Victoria, 2015 to 2023, VOCSTATS
  • Australian Government Department of Education, higher education student enrolment by 6-digit ASCED Field of Education, 2024

Workforce profile

Employment

Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Workforce profile

  • ABS, Census, Age in five-year groups by sex, ANZSIC1, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Level of highest educational attainment, ANZSIC1, 2021.

Workforce diversity

  • ABS, Census, Indigenous status ANZSIC1, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Language used at home, ANZSIC1, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Indigenous status ANZSIC1, 2021.

Top employing occupations

  • ABS, Census, Age in five-year groups by sex, ANZSIC1, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Industry of employment and labour force status by state, ANZSIC1, ANZSCO4, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Level of highest educational attainment, ANZSIC1, 2021.

Workforce projections

  • Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Top growing occupations

Employment

Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025

Skill level

ABS, Census, Occupation skill level (OCSKP), ANZSCO4, 2021.

Annual median earnings

ABS, Survey of employee earnings and hours, May 2023.

Retention rate

Australian Taxation Office, Occupation transition 2010 to 2011 to 2021 to 2022 income years.

Skills needs

  • Lightcast, ANZ Postings, Victorian Skills Authority's analysis, 2024 and 2019 to 2024.

Training activity

  • NCVER, Total VET Activity (TVA) program enrolments, government-funded courses in Victoria, 2015 to 2023, VOCSTATS
  • Australian Government Department of Education, higher education student enrolment by 6-digit ASCED Field of Education, 2024.