By 2028, 3,600 new workers are expected to enter the arts and recreation services industry.
Workforce projections: 3-year and 10-year outlook
Workforce projections – industry
Time period | Employment growth | Retirements | New workers expected5 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Share | No. | Share | ||
2025 to 2028 | -670 | -18% | 4,300 | 118% | 3,600 |
2025 to 2035 | 7,600 | 35% | 13,900 | 65% | 21,500 |
Workforce projections – Victoria
Time period | Employment growth | Retirements | New workers expected5 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Share | No. | Share | ||
2025 to 2028 | 143,000 | 38% | 230,000 | 62% | 373,000 |
2025 to 2035 | 650,000 | 45% | 804,000 | 55% | 1,454,000 |
Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.
New workers expected⁵ by industry subdivision from 2025 to 2028
Industry subdivision | Number of workers | VET | Higher education | No post-school qualifications |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sports and recreation | 2,300 | 28% | 29% | 43% |
Heritage activities | 1,200 | 27% | 55% | 18% |
Gambling activities | 670 | 27% | 42% | 31% |
Occupations with high new workers expected⁵ with direct TAFE study pathways⁶ from 2025 to 2028
Occupation | New workers expected5 | TAFE pathways into occupation6 | Available under Free TAFE7 |
|---|---|---|---|
Animal attendants and trainers | 320 | Certificate III in Racing (Stablehand) | - |
Certificate III in Rural Operations | - | ||
Certificate III in Racing (Trackwork Rider) | - | ||
Greenkeepers | 180 | Certificate III in Sports Turf Management | - |
Gaming workers | 170 | No post-school qualification required | - |
Gardeners | 170 | Certificate III in Landscape Construction | - |
Certificate II in Horticulture | ✓ | ||
Certificate III in Parks and Gardens | - | ||
Environmental scientists | 150 | Certificate III in Conservation and Ecosystem Management | - |
Inner metropolitan (within metropolitan Melbourne) and Barwon (within regional Victoria) are expecting the highest share of new workers
New workers expected⁵ for arts and recreation services, by region⁸, from 2025 to 2028
New workers expected – industry
| Employment growth | Retirements | New workers expected 2028 | Share of total new workers expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Industry | -670 | 4,300 | 3,600 | 1% |
New workers expected – Metropolitan Melbourne
| Employment growth | Retirements | New workers expected 2028 | Share of total new workers expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Metropolitan Melbourne | -740 | 3,500 | 2,800 | 77% |
Inner metropolitan | -260 | 1,600 | 1,300 | 46% |
Western metropolitan | 170 | 350 | 520 | 19% |
Southern metropolitan | -100 | 490 | 400 | 14% |
Eastern metropolitan | -120 | 410 | 290 | 10% |
Northern metropolitan | -180 | 430 | 250 | 9% |
Inner south-east metropolitan | -260 | 300 | 40 | 1% |
New workers expected – Regional Victoria
| Employment growth | Retirements | New workers expected 2028 | Share of total new workers expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Regional Victoria | 70 | 750 | 820 | 23% |
Barwon | 80 | 160 | 240 | 29% |
Gippsland | 20 | 150 | 170 | 21% |
Central Highlands | 10 | 130 | 140 | 17% |
Loddon Campaspe | -20 | 120 | 100 | 12% |
Ovens Murray | -10 | 60 | 50 | 6% |
Goulburn | -10 | 40 | 40 | 5% |
Great South Coast | -10 | 40 | 30 | 4% |
Mallee | 0 | 20 | 30 | 4% |
Wimmera Southern Mallee | 0 | 20 | 20 | 2% |
Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.
- 77 per cent of new workers expected for the industry will be located within metropolitan Melbourne, with inner metropolitan and Western metropolitan with the highest share of new workers
- 23 per cent of new workers expected for the industry will be located within regional Victoria, with Barwon and Gippsland with the highest share of new workers.
Updated