Manufacturing skills and workforce snapshot

Date:
19 Aug 2026

1 Industry snapshot

Manufacturing skills and workforce snapshot

Workforce overview

Victoria’s sixth largest employing industry:

  • 275,000 people employed
  • 7.3% of the Victorian workforce.

Top employing jobs in the industry:

  • Production managers
  • Food and drink factory workers.

Workforce profile

  • Predominantly male and culturally diverse workforce
  • More workers have a VET qualification (35% compared to 30% statewide)
  • Higher proportion of the workforce is aged 50+ (36% compared with 29% statewide)
  • Around a quarter of the industry is employed in food and beverage manufacturing, its largest subdivision.

Projections

Victoria’s tenth highest growing industry:

  • 13,200 new workers expected by 2028
  • By 2028, 2,900 new workers expected in non‑metallic mineral product manufacturing, followed by fabricated metal products manufacturing (+2,000).

Top growing jobs in the industry are:

  • Product assemblers, +1,000 new workers by 2028
  • Food and drink factory workers, +1,000 new workers by 2028.

Regional outlook

Regions expecting the highest share of new workers:

  • Melbourne: Southern metropolitan Melbourne and Western metropolitan Melbourne
  • Regional: Barwon and Loddon Campaspe.

Skills demand

The top growing jobs in the industry range in skill level requirements:

  • Higher skilled jobs in the industry attract higher wages and have higher retention rates.

Most in-demand industry specific skills:

  • Business solutions
  • Supply chain management.

Skills supply

Popular vocational education and training courses:

  • Certificate III in Engineering - Fabrication Trade
  • Certificate IV in Process Manufacturing.

Popular university study areas:

  • Business management
  • Management and commerce.

2 Introduction

About the manufacturing industry

About these reports

These reports provide a point in time, data-driven overview of the workforce and skills for each industry.

The report does not provide a complete view of workforce dynamics within the industry. Its purpose is to support ongoing efforts to address workforce and skilling demands and to identify opportunities within the manufacturing industry.

Report coverage

This report focuses on the manufacturing industry and the occupations relevant to the industry, categorised using the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) classification of industries (ANZSIC) and occupations (ANZSCO).

Coverage in this report is limited to employment in the industry and sectors as defined by the ABS, noting some occupations are almost exclusively associated with an industry, such as surgeons in the health services sector, while others, such as accountants, are associated with many industries.

Furthermore, industry classifications rarely encompass the full nature of the work (and therefore skills) associated with a given industry. Therefore, ABS definitions of industries or sectors may not align with the definitions used by an industry association.

Key sectors of the industry

The manufacturing industry transforms raw materials into finished or semi-finished goods through mechanical, chemical or biological processes.

The key sectors within the manufacturing industry are:

  • Food and beverage manufacturing – includes production of meat, dairy, bakery goods, beverages, sugar, confectionery and packaged foods
  • Petroleum, chemical and plastics – includes refining petroleum, manufacturing of chemicals, fertilisers, pharmaceuticals and plastic products
  • Metal and machinery – includes smelting, metal product fabrication, machinery and equipment production, and repair services
  • Wood, paper and printing – includes timber processing, paper and cardboard manufacturing, and printing services
  • Textiles, clothing and leather – includes yarn spinning, fabric production, clothing manufacturing, and footwear and leather goods.

3 Workforce profile

The manufacturing industry is Victoria’s sixth‑largest employing industry, with a predominantly male and culturally diverse workforce.

Employment

Employment by industry in 2025

  • 275,000 employed1
  • 7.3% Victorian employment share
  • 6th share rank.

Employment by industry subdivision in 2025

Industry subdivision

Number of workers

Food product manufacturing

67,000

Machinery and equipment manufacturing

37,500

Furniture and other manufacturing

28,900

Transport equipment manufacturing

26,100

Basic chemical and chemical product manufacturing

19,700

Workforce profile

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

Age distribution in 2021

Age profile – industry

Age

Percentage of workers

15 to 24 years

9%

25 to 49 years

55%

50 years and over

36%

Age profile – all industries

Age

Percentage of workers

15 to 24 years

14%

25 to 49 years

57%

50 years and over

29%

Sex distribution² in 2021

Sex distribution – industry

Sex

Percentage of workers

Female

31%

Male

69%

Sex distribution – all industries

Sex

Percentage of workers

Female

49%

Male

51%

Highest level of education in 2021

Highest level of education – industry

Education

Percentage of workers

VET

35%

Higher education

26%

No post-school qualifications

39%

Highest level of education – all industries

Education

Percentage of workers

VET

30%

Higher education

41%

No post-school qualifications

29%

Workforce diversity

First Nations employment in 2021

Group

Percentage identifying as First Nations

Industry

0.6%

All industries

0.7%

Working age population

0.9%

Speaks a language other than English³ in 2021

Group

Percentage speaking a language other than English at home

Industry

32.9%

All industries

27.4%

Working age population

34.4%

Needs assistance with core activities⁴ in 2021

Group

Percentage needing assistance with core activities

Industry

0.9%

All industries

0.9%

Working age population

3.2%

4 Top employing occupations

Production managers is the top employing occupation in the industry, with a mostly male, full-time employed, VET qualified workforce.

Largest employing occupations within the industry by sex, employed part-time and highest education attainment

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

Number employed by sex², ABS Census 2021

Occupation

Number of workers

Percentage male

Percentage female

Production managers

9,200

84%

16%

Food and drink factory workers

8,800

70%

30%

Packers

7,900

38%

62%

Structural steel and welding trades workers

7,400

99%

1%

Sales assistants (general)

6,200

23%

77%

Product assemblers

5,300

78%

22%

Cabinetmakers

5,200

96%

4%

Storepersons

5,200

74%

26%

Metal fitters and machinists

4,900

99%

1%

Forklift drivers

4,800

96%

4%

Percentage working part-time in 2021

Occupation

Percentage working part-time

Production managers

7%

Food and drink factory workers

23%

Packers

35%

Structural steel and welding trades workers

11%

Sales assistants (general)

74%

Product assemblers

16%

Cabinetmakers

14%

Storepersons

23%

Metal fitters and machinists

8%

Forklift drivers

10%

Highest educational attainment in 2021

Occupation

Percentage VET

Percentage higher education

Percentage no post-school qualification

Production managers

40%

31%

29%

Food and drink factory workers

27%

16%

57%

Packers

20%

16%

64%

Structural steel and welding trades workers

66%

4%

30%

Sales assistants (general)

17%

11%

72%

Product assemblers

28%

14%

58%

Cabinetmakers

65%

6%

29%

Storepersons

28%

14%

58%

Metal fitters and machinists

82%

5%

13%

Forklift drivers

26%

6%

68%

5 Workforce projections

By 2028, 13,200 new workers are expected to enter the manufacturing industry.

Workforce projections: 3-year and 10-year outlook

Workforce projections – industry

Time period

Employment growth

Retirements

New workers expected5

No.

Share

No.

Share

2025 to 2028

-4,970

-38%

18,100

138%

13,200

2025 to 2035

-6,790

-13%

59,000

113%

52,000

Workforce projections – Victoria

Time period

Employment growth

Retirements

New workers expected5

No.

Share

No.

Share

2025 to 2028

143,000

38%

230,000

62%

373,000

2025 to 2035

650,000

45%

804,000

55%

1,454,000

Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.

New workers expected⁵ by industry subdivision from 2025 to 2028

Industry subdivision

Number of workers

VET

Higher education

No post-school qualifications

Non-metallic mineral product
manufacturing

2,900

36%

20%

44%

Fabricated metal product
manufacturing

2,000

41%

17%

42%

Machinery and equipment
manufacturing

1,600

40%

34%

26%

Wood product manufacturing

1,600

45%

12%

43%

Printing (including the
reproduction of recorded
media)

1,500

42%

24%

34%

Occupations with high new workers expected⁵ with direct TAFE study pathways⁶ from 2025 to 2028

Occupation
(ANZSCO4)

New workers expected5

TAFE pathways into occupation6

Available under Free TAFE7

Product assemblers

1,040

Certificate II in Furniture Making Pathways

-

Certificate II in Cabinet Making and Timber Technology

✓

Certificate II in Furnishing

-

Food and drink factory workers

1,000

Certificate II in Food Processing

-

Certificate I in Food Processing

-

Certificate III in Meat Processing (Smallgoods - General)

-

Metal fitters and machinists

910

Certificate III in Engineering - Mechanical Trade

-

Packers

900

Certificate III in Meat Processing (Food Services)

-

Certificate II in Meat Processing (Food Services)

-

Certificate II in Meat Processing (Abattoirs)

-

Structural steel and welding trades workers

770

Certificate III in Engineering - Fabrication Trade

-

Certificate IV in Process Manufacturing

-

Certificate III in Civil Construction Plant Operations

✓

Southern Metropolitan (within metropolitan Melbourne) and Barwon (within regional Victoria) are expecting the highest share of new workers

New workers expected⁵ for manufacturing, by region⁸, 2025-2028

New workers expected – industry

Employment growth
2025 to 2028

Retirements
2025 to 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Industry

-4,970

18,100

13,200

4%

New workers expected – Metropolitan Melbourne

Employment growth
2025 - 2028

Retirements
2025 - 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Metropolitan Melbourne

-2,870

14,300

11,400

87%

Southern metropolitan

-830

4,200

3,400

30%

Western metropolitan

520

2,400

2,900

25%

Northern metropolitan

-330

3,000

2,700

23%

Eastern metropolitan

-1,260

3,000

1,700

15%

Inner metropolitan

-670

1,300

630

6%

Inner south-east metropolitan

-280

400

120

1%

New workers expected – Regional Victoria

Employment growth
2025 - 2028

Retirements
2025 - 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Regional Victoria

-2,100

3,800

1,700

13%

Barwon

-260

800

540

31%

Loddon Campaspe

-370

670

300

17%

Central Highlands

-160

450

290

17%

Ovens Murray

-290

460

170

10%

Gippsland

-410

540

130

8%

Goulburn

-250

380

130

7%

Great South Coast

-190

280

80

5%

Mallee

-90

170

80

5%

Wimmera Southern Mallee

-80

90

20

1%

Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.

  • 87 per cent of the new workers expected for the industry will be located within metropolitan Melbourne, with Southern metropolitan and Western metropolitan with the highest share of new workers.
  • 13 per cent of the new workers expected for the industry will be located within regional Victoria, with Barwon and Loddon Campaspe with the highest share of new workers.

6 Top growing occupations

Top growing jobs in the industry vary in skill level requirements, with higher skilled jobs commanding higher salaries and stronger retention rates.

Occupations with the highest new workers expected within the manufacturing industry

Occupations with highest new workers expected5

New workers expected5
2025 to 2028

Skill level9

Annual median earnings10

Retention rate11

Product assemblers

1,000

5

$55,156

75.4%

Food and drink factory workers

1,000

4,5

$66,456

76.4%

Metal fitters and machinists

910

3

$94,744

89.2%

Packers

900

5

$56,774

67.9%

Structural steel and welding trades workers

770

3

$79,737

87.7%

Production managers

620

1

$130,770

86.5%

Industrial, mechanical and production engineers

600

1

$109,850

88.7%

Truck drivers

510

4

$69,628

85.9%

Bricklayers and stonemasons

490

3

$97,859

76.4%

Printers

430

3

$67,792

86.4%

7 Skills needs

Skills in demand within the industry are diverse, with in-demand industry-specific skills ranging from business solutions to heavy equipment operation.

Industry-specific skill demand

The most in-demand skills are business solutions, supply chain management and heavy equipment operation. Communication, initiative and leadership, and personal attributes (e.g. right attitude/mindset) are also important, with over 80 per cent of job advertisements within the industry mentioning one or more of these skills.

Most mentioned industry-specific skills in 2024 as a share of job advertisements

Industry-specific skill

Share of job ads

Business solutions

12.0%

Supply chain management

10.1%

Heavy equipment operation

8.0%

Machinery

7.5%

Sales management

6.8%

Manufacturing processes

6.4%

General shipping and
receiving

5.7%

Pharmacy

5.2%

Manufacturing standards

5.1%

Product development

5.0%

Growing skills mentions within the industry

Skills increasingly being mentioned in job advertisements within the manufacturing industry are inventory and warehousing, merchandising and process improvement and optimisation.

Note: these exclude industry-specific skills already identified as being in high demand

Growing skills as a percentage point difference in job advertisement mentions from 2019 to 2024

Industry-specific skill

Percentage of job ad mentions in 2019

Percentage of job ad mentions in 2024

Difference

Inventory and warehousing

5.1%

16.8%

11.7%

Merchandising

2.5%

10.0%

7.6%

Process improvement and optimisation

9.8%

16.3%

6.5%

Occupational health and safety

4.7%

9.0%

4.3%

Plant operations and management

4.0%

7.4%

3.4%

Cash management

0.5%

3.7%

3.2%

Welding, brazing and soldering

0.6%

3.4%

2.8%

Cash register operation

0.7%

3.3%

2.6%

Food and beverage

4.4%

6.9%

2.6%

Customer relationship management (CRM)

6.2%

8.8%

2.5%

8 Training activity

Popular courses and study areas linked to this industry include the Certificate III in Engineering - Fabrication Trade (VET) and Business Management (HE).

Government-funded VET courses⁶

The Certificate III in Engineering - Fabrication Trade, Certificate IV in Process Manufacturing and Certificate III in Cabinet Making and Timber Technology are among the most popular VET courses in the industry.

Course code

Course name

Available under Free TAFE7

MEM31925

-

MSM40116

Certificate IV in Process Manufacturing

-

MSF30322

-

MEM20105

-

FBP30521

-

MST20722

Certificate II in Apparel, Fashion and Textiles

-

MSF20522

Certificate II in Furniture Making Pathways

-

FBP30421

-

FBP20122

Certificate II in Food Processing

-

MST31022

-

Clicking the link will take you to the Victorian Skills Gateway(opens in a new window), where you can find further information about the course, entry requirements, training providers and financial supports available

University study areas

Popular university study areas aligned with this industry include business management, management and commerce and mechanical engineering.

FoE code

Field of education (FoE)

080301

Business management

080000

Management and commerce

030701

Mechanical engineering

080315

Project management

030101

Manufacturing engineering

030303

Mining engineering

030105

Textile making

030399

Process and resources engineering, n.e.c.

030199

Manufacturing engineering and technology, n.e.c.

080317

Quality management

9 Appendix 1: Data notes

1. Employed: Refers to the estimated number of workers in the industry (working one or more paid hours per week) at the close of the financial year. The estimate is derived using the average of past observations.

2. Sex distribution: In the 2021 Census, respondents could select 1 of 3 options for the sex question: male, female or non-binary sex. Census data is only available for responses recorded as male or female.

3. Speaks a language other than English: Refers to individuals who use a non-English language in their household. The ABS collects this data through the Census.

4. Workers who need assistance with core activities: Are workers with a profound or severe core activity limitation in one or more areas of self-care, mobility and communication.

5. New workers expected: Refers to the estimated number of people needed to enter the workforce in each industry, occupation or region over a specified timeframe. It combines 2 elements:

  • Employment growth – new jobs created as businesses and services expand
  • Retirements – workers aged over 50 who are expected to permanently leave the workforce, based on patterns observed in tax and census data.

This figure shows how many new workers may be needed to both fill new roles and replace people exiting due to retirement. These are projections – informed estimates based on past trends, government policy and population forecasts.

6. TAFE study pathways: Refers to government-funded Vocational Education and Training (VET) courses that upon completion, provide a pathway into occupations.These pathways include courses at the same or lower skill level than the related ANZSCO 4-digit occupation or courses at a higher skill level with no barriers to entry such as prior qualifications or prerequisites. VET course pathways reflect funding as of November 2025 and the courses included in the 2026 Training Needs List. Funding for VET courses is regularly updated and is subject to change.

7. Free TAFE: Refers to Vocational Education and Training (VET) courses for which the Victorian Government provides free tuition for eligible students. The Free TAFE list reflects funding as of November 2025 and courses included in the 2026 Training Needs List. Funding for VET courses is regularly updated and is subject to change.

8. Regions: Are groupings of local government areas (LGAs) that align to the Victorian Government’s regional partnerships and former metropolitan partnerships.

9. Skill level: Reflects the level of educational attainment, training or experience needed to perform an occupation’s tasks. Skill levels:

  • Skill level 1: Occupations typically require a bachelor’s degree or higher
  • Skill level 2: Occupations typically require an associate degree, Advanced Diploma or Diploma
  • Skill level 3: Occupations typically require a Certificate III (including apprenticeship) or a Certificate IV
  • Skill level 4: Occupations typically require a Certificate III (non-apprenticeship pathway) or a Certificate II
  • Skill level 5: Occupations typically require a Certificate I or compulsory secondary education.

10. Median earnings: Is the estimated annual median earnings of full-time non-managerial employees in a selected occupation across Australia, based on ABS data from May 2023.

11. Retention rate: Measures the proportion of workers who remain in the same occupation from one financial year to the next, based on ATO data from 2021 to 2022.

9 Appendix 2: Data sources

Industry snapshot

Workforce overview

Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Workforce profile

  • Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025
  • ABS, Census, Age in five-year groups by sex, ANZSIC1, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Level of highest educational attainment, ANZSIC1, 2021.

Projections

Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Regional outlook

Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Skills demand

Lightcast, ANZ Postings, Victorian Skills Authority's analysis, 2024.

Skills supply

  • NCVER, Total VET Activity (TVA) program enrolments, government-funded courses in Victoria, 2015 to 2023, VOCSTATS
  • Australian Government Department of Education, higher education student enrolment by 6-digit ASCED Field of Education, 2024.

Workforce profile

Employment

Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Workforce profile

  • ABS, Census, Age in five-year groups by sex, ANZSIC1, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Level of highest educational attainment, ANZSIC1, 2021.

Workforce diversity

  • ABS, Census, Indigenous status ANZSIC1, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Language used at home, ANZSIC1, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Indigenous status ANZSIC1, 2021.

Top employing occupations

  • ABS, Census, Age in five-year groups by sex, ANZSIC1, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Industry of employment and labour force status by state, ANZSIC1, ANZSCO4, 2021
  • ABS, Census, Level of highest educational attainment, ANZSIC1, 2021.

Workforce projections

  • Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Top growing occupations

Employment

Victorian Skills Authority, Total new workers expected modelling, based on DJSIR employment projections, 2025.

Skill level

ABS, Census, Occupation skill level (OCSKP), ANZSCO4, 2021.

Annual median earnings

ABS, Survey of employee earnings and hours, May 2023.

Retention rate

Australian Taxation Office, Occupation transition 2010 to 2011 to 2021 to 2022 income years.

Skills needs

  • Lightcast, ANZ Postings, Victorian Skills Authority's analysis, 2024 and 2019 to 2024.

Training activity

  • NCVER, Total VET Activity (TVA) program enrolments, government-funded courses in Victoria, 2015 to 2023, VOCSTATS
  • Australian Government Department of Education, higher education student enrolment by 6-digit ASCED Field of Education, 2024.