5 Workforce projections

By 2028, 3,200 new workers are expected to enter the other services industry.

Workforce projections: 3-year and 10-year outlook

Workforce projections – industry

Time period

Employment growth

Retirements

New workers expected5

No.

Share

No.

Share

2025 to 2028

-5,010

-157%

8,200

257%

3,200

2025 to 2035

980

4%

25,900

96%

26,800

Workforce projections – Victoria

Time period

Employment growth

Retirements

New workers expected5

No.

Share

No.

Share

2025 to 2028

143,000

38%

230,000

62%

373,000

2025 to 2035

650,000

45%

804,000

55%

1,454,000

Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.

New workers expected⁵ by industry subdivision from 2025 to 2028

Industry subdivision

Number of workers

VET

Higher education

No post-school qualifications

Repair and maintenance

1,900

60%

10%

30%

Personal and other services

1,200

46%

31%

23%

Private households employing
staff and undifferentiated
goods and service-producing
activities of households for
own use

50

31%

21%

48%

Occupations with high new workers expected⁵ with direct TAFE study pathways⁶ from 2025 to 2028

Occupation
(ANZSCO4)

New workers expected5

TAFE pathways into occupation6

Available under Free TAFE7

Animal attendants and trainers

450

Certificate III in Racing (Stablehand)

-

Certificate III in Rural Operations

-

Certificate III in Racing (Trackwork Rider)

-

Metal fitters and machinists

450

Certificate III in Light Vehicle Mechanical Technology

-

Certificate III in Engineering – Mechanical Trade

-

Funeral workers

220

Certificate IV in Celebrancy

-

Bookkeepers

180

Higher education qualification required

-

Accounting clerks

140

Higher education qualification required

-

Western metropolitan (within metropolitan Melbourne) and Barwon (within regional Victoria) are expecting the highest share of new workers

New workers expected⁵ for other services, by region⁸, from 2025 to 2028

New workers expected – industry

Employment growth
2025 to 2028

Retirements
2025 to 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Industry

-5,010

8,200

3,200

1%

New workers expected – Metropolitan Melbourne

Employment growth
2025 to 2028

Retirements
2025 to 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Metropolitan Melbourne

-3,360

6,200

2,800

89%

Western metropolitan

10

1,000

1,000

35%

Northern metropolitan

-380

1,000

630

22%

Southern metropolitan

-820

1,400

560

20%

Inner metropolitan

-690

1,100

390

14%

Eastern metropolitan

-970

1,200

240

8%

Inner south-east metropolitan

-510

520

20

1%

New workers expected – Regional Victoria

Employment growth
2025 to 2028

Retirements
2025 to 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Regional Victoria

-1,650

2,000

360

11%

Barwon

-150

380

230

62%

Central Highlands

-140

230

90

24%

Gippsland

-310

390

80

21%

Ovens Murray

-140

180

40

11%

Loddon Campaspe

-310

310

0

<1%

Wimmera Southern Mallee

-70

60

0

-1%

Mallee

-150

140

-10

-3%

Great South Coast

-150

130

-10

-3%

Goulburn

-240

190

-40

-11%

Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.

  • 89 per cent of new workers expected for the industry will be located within metropolitan Melbourne, with Western metropolitan and Northern metropolitan with the highest share of new workers
  • 11 per cent of new workers expected for the industry will be located within regional Victoria, with Barwon and Central Highlands with the highest share of new workers.

Updated