5 Workforce projections

By 2028, 4,400 new workers are expected to enter the electricity, gas, water and waste services industry.

Workforce projections: 3-year and 10-year outlook

Workforce projections – industry

Time period

Employment growth

Retirements

New workers expected5

No.

Share

No.

Share

2025 to 2028

1,400

32%

2,900

68%

4,400

2025 to 2035

8,400

45%

10,100

55%

18,500

Workforce projections – Victoria

Time period

Employment growth

Retirements

New workers expected5

No.

Share

No.

Share

2025 to 2028

143,000

38%

230,000

62%

373,000

2025 to 2035

650,000

45%

804,000

55%

1,454,000

Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.

New workers expected⁵ by industry subdivision from 2025 to 2028

Industry subdivision

Number of workers

VET

Higher education

No post-school qualifications

Water supply, sewerage and
drainage services

1,600

35%

47%

18%

Electricity supply

1,200

35%

49%

16%

Waste collection, treatment
and disposal services

1,100

35%

16%

49%

Gas supply

390

32%

44%

24%

Occupations with high new workers expected⁵ with direct TAFE study pathways⁶ from 2025 to 2028

Occupation
(ANZSCO4)

New workers expected5

TAFE pathways into occupation6

Available under Free TAFE7

Truck drivers

430

Certificate III in Driving Operations

-

Certificate IV in Specialist Driving Operations

-

Civil engineering professionals

180

Higher education qualification required

-

Information officers

150

Higher education qualification required

-

Other stationary plant operators

150

Certificate III in Civil Construction

✓

Recycling and rubbish collectors

140

No post-school qualification required

-

Inner metropolitan (within metropolitan Melbourne) and Gippsland (within regional Victoria) are expecting the highest share of new workers

New workers expected⁵ for electricity, gas, water and waste services, by region⁸, from 2025 to 2028

New workers expected – industry

Employment growth
2025 to 2028

Retirements
2025 to 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Industry

1,400

2,900

4,400

1%

New workers expected – Metropolitan Melbourne

Employment growth
2025 to 2028

Retirements
2025 to 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Metropolitan Melbourne

1,200

2,200

3,400

77%

Inner metropolitan

220

930

1,200

34%

Southern metropolitan

260

430

690

20%

Western metropolitan

400

290

680

20%

Northern metropolitan

190

230

420

13%

Eastern metropolitan

160

230

390

12%

Inner south-east metropolitan

-10

50

30

1%

New workers expected – Regional Victoria

Employment growth
2025 to 2028

Retirements
2025 to 2028

New workers expected 2028

Share of total new workers expected

Regional Victoria

200

790

980

23%

Gippsland

80

290

370

38%

Barwon

60

130

190

19%

Goulburn

50

70

120

12%

Loddon Campaspe

20

80

100

10%

Central Highlands

30

60

100

10%

Great South Coast

-20

50

30

3%

Ovens Murray

-10

40

30

3%

Mallee

-20

40

30

3%

Wimmera Southern Mallee

-10

30

20

2%

Note: Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.

  • 77 per cent of new workers expected for the industry will be located within metropolitan Melbourne, with inner metropolitan and Southern metropolitan with the highest share of new workers
  • 23 per cent of new workers expected for the industry will be located within regional Victoria, with Gippsland and Barwon with the highest share of new workers.

Updated